Will California authorize more housing units in 2026 than 2025?
37
1kṀ2392
2027
84%
chance

As reported by FRED.

If that data series is no longer available, a best effort will be made to produce comparable numbers and judge accordingly.

Individual year estimates:

/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-0p0z0cAphZ

/EvanDaniel/how-many-housing-units-will-califor-n9CySu9NPL

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@traders Which potential future governors will authorize more or less housing?

/EvanDaniel/which-ca-governors-will-build-more

Are there other similar questions y'all would be interested in? Are there other relevant factors that might influence housing construction?

reposted

While there are sub-markets to track individual years, and other related markets and info, I think this is also a market where an average person from California could at least make a guess and buy some shares based on what they have picked up about their state via osmosis.

And the following one in the series:

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules