Which company will create AGI first?
60
1.9kṀ35612036
27%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
11%
Anthropic
11%
DeepMind
10%
US Government
10%
OpenAI
9%
DeepSeek
6%
5%
people not employed by a company
5%
Communist Party of China
3%
xAI
3%
Meta
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
60% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
30% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
12% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
50% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
64% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2035?
76% chance
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?