Which science fiction technology or phenomenon will become reality in 2025?
20
275Ṁ928
Jan 1
37%
Subvocalization Reading Inspired by: "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" by Robert A. Heinlein
37%
Humanoid robots (I, Robot) - Functional autonomous humanoid robots deployed in manufacturing or service industries
34%
Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs)
13%
Spectral Biosignature Detection in exoplanets. Inspired by: "The Three-Body Problem"
10%
Government Disclosure of Alien Evidence: Media Inspiration: "The X-Files" (1993–2018).
9%
AI Recursive Self-Improvement Inspired by: "The Matrix"
6%
Advanced prosthetics (RoboCop) - Fully integrated bionic limbs with sensory feedback
5%
Exoplanet Radio Signal Detection. Inspired by: "Contact" by Carl Sagan
Resolved
YES
Robotaxis

This market speculates on which science fiction-inspired technology or phenomenon will be realized or demonstrated in 2025. Participants are encouraged to submit options that specify both the technology/phenomenon and the sci-fi media it originates from (e.g., books, movies, TV shows, or games).

The resolution will be subjective, based on whether the development closely aligns with the concept portrayed in the media and demonstrates meaningful functionality. Examples of valid options include technologies like brain-computer interfaces from Neuromancer or autonomous humanoid robots from I, Robot.

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love this question!

@FranklinBaldo can you please resolve robotaxis to yes, or clarify why Waymo and the like don't pass?

@mods do you think it's reasonable to resolve robotaxis to yes?

@SurvivalBias

will be realized or demonstrated

yep, the resolution criteria are loose enough to allow it imo. creator has been quiet so I've resolved it

@FranklinBaldo Subvocalisation is a real phenomenon involving micromovements at the back of the throat and the larynx during reading. Musicians can also subvocalise sheet music. Its relationship to the "inner voice" is still unknown. Resolve YES

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33612369/

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18377180/

@Chumchulum yes but I'm not sure how subvocalization is used in that novel, I don't think I've read it. anybody have insights?

bought Ṁ10 YES

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