
Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
23
1kṀ24902026
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election
20.5% of the votes in 2022.
If 20.5% this resolves NO.
If Sweden Democrats have changed name, but are the same party, the result still counts.
If Sweden Democrats are not part of the 2026 elections, this resolves NO.
If Sweden Democrats split into multiple parties, they are not aggregated, but I will rule on which one is closest to the original (presumably one that doesn't change its name).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026
14% chance
Will Sweden win the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest?
26% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
51% chance
What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?
16% chance
Will Sweden keep being a democracy until 2030?
95% chance
Will right-wing parties take more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 European Parliament elections?
20% chance
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
63% chance
Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next?