Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

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#China Taiwan potential conflict

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Does reunification following a blockade/military action short of invasion count?

Does seizure of an outlying island (Kinmen, Matsu, Penghu) count?

Does seizure of Taiping Island in the SCS count?

bought Ṁ10 NO

great questions

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[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

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