When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
61
13kṀ22k2046
2,027
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
80% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
91% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
91% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
90% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
89% chance
When would AI first get a gold medal or equivalent in IMO (International Mathematics Olympiad)