Will Gary Marcus state that AGI has been achieved before 2030?
10
210Ṁ2472030
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Gary Marcus has stated that AGI has been achieved in his Substack post today, discussing an unreleased GPT-5 demo.
https://open.substack.com/pub/garymarcus/p/breaking-gpt-5-news
@MalachiteEagle It was. I was hoping for a greater fool. Just a quick pump and dump for me, as a treat.
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2027?
10% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
54% chance
Which people will say that AGI has been achieved, by EOY 2030?
Will we get AGI before 2026?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
11% chance
Will Gary Marcus get AGI-pilled in 2025?
4% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
67% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
79% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
63% chance