Will Iran try to assassinate Trump?
14
1kṀ4633
2026
13%
chance

President Trump says he's left instructions to “obliterate” Iran if they assassinate him: “If they did that, they would be obliterated. I've left instructions.” “There would be nothing left.”

Resolves by the end of 2025 on news reports from at least one of:

• ABC

• CBS

• NBC

• PBS

• NPR

• CNN

• Fox

• MSNBC

• Associated Press

• New York Times

• Washington Examiner

• Wall Street Journal

• New York Post

• USA Today

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opened a Ṁ293 YES at 13% order

Selling all my NO shares at 13% because I need to liquidize

"Iran's threat to assassinate Donald Trump during the 2024 campaign was far more serious than publicly known — and led to extraordinary precautions by his team that included using a decoy plane to avert a feared attempt on his life."

https://www.axios.com/2025/02/09/inside-trump-fear-iran-book?utm_campaign=editorial&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

If he’s assassinated, he’s no longer the Commander, “the instructions” are worthless.

The key word is “try”, the network (ie Fox) can report anything as a “try” - “hurricane made land fall in Florida yesterday, clearly a sign that Iran tried to assassinate the visiting President”

@VNetChrome

If you think Fox or any news outlet named above would report anything like your fantasy story, please don’t wager on this market.

@JeffBerman you must not have ever encountered FOXNews. They have lost and settled lawsuits for…lying, that FOXNews. No worries, I didn’t and won’t wager on this market to “skew” ur table.

opened a Ṁ200 YES at 20% order
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