Will Trump issue an executive order to shut down the Department of Education or move functions to other departments?
38
1kṀ9210
2026
66%
chance

https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/education-department-trump-executive-order-eeaf1cb6?st=fvdP9s&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

Resolves no later than the end of this year on news reports from at least one of:

• ABC

• CBS

• NBC

• PBS

• NPR

• CNN

• Fox

• MSNBC

• Associated Press

• New York Times

• Washington Examiner

• Wall Street Journal

• New York Post

• USA Today

  • Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on 'move functions':

    • The market will only resolve as YES if the Department of Education is eliminated or its functions are entirely transferred to other departments.

    • Partial assignments of DoE functions to other departments will not count as meeting the criteria.

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can you further define "move functions"?

@hidetzugu Good question, and forgive the vague language there. This market is about eliminating the Department of Education or moving its functions to other departments entirely. Partially assigning DoE functions to other departments does not resolve this market as YES.

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