How many civilians will federal LEO or military shoot with lethal munitions in California in the next 12 months

1kṀ679

2026

35%

1-10

11-50

51-100

101-250

Over 250

The situation in California is escalating. Place your bets on how far it will go.

Update 2025-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they do not have a specific data source for resolution.

They will resolve the market based on a consensus from the community.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

In an average year, federal law enforcement officers shoot 50-60 people. In California, that means you would expect 5-6 fatalities in an average year.
How are you planning to collect the data to resolve this? It will not necessarily be easy to determine the answer.

@LarsOsborne In good faith I have to admit that I have no idea. Open to following any consensus.

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