Age of death multi-market
19
1.8kṀ19283001
91%
Chris Mirabile
90%
88%
Donald Knuth
88%
Bill Gates
87%
Scott Alexander
87%
86%
Jeff Bezos
86%
Michelle Obama
86%
Joe Biden
86%
Donald Trump
85%
Peter Thiel
85%
Bryan Johnson
85%
85%
Destiny
84%
George R R Martin
84%
Xi Jinping
83%
Ray Kurzweil
82%
Elon Musk
82%
King Charles III
Each market resolves PROB to the age at which the person dies. 100+ resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Weekly Biden Death Markets
Weekly Biden Death Markets [December 14 - January 10, 2026]
Weekly Biden Death Markets [February 8 - March 7 2026]
Weekly Biden Death Markets [January 11, 2026 - February 7 2026]
Weekly Biden Death Markets [October 19 - November 15]
Weekly Biden Death Markets [November 16 - December 13]
Will Someone Join This Market Who Will Live To The Year 2110?
62% chance