When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit?
3
320Ṁ792028
17%
-2025
17%
2026
38%
2027
28%
2028-
The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings
Update 2025-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Long March 10A counts: The market includes the Long March 10A variant. If the 10A is the first to reach orbit, resolution will use that date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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