Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?
35
100Ṁ1483Dec 24
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, no land conflict with Venezuela
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela
21%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, land conflict with Venezuela
78%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, no land conflict with Venezuela
Any strikes or troops on Venezuela land territory counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2025?
15% chance
USA strikes Venezuela in first 2 weeks of December 2025?
2% chance
US Military action again Venezuela in 2025?
19% chance
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
10% chance
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
10% chance
Will Trump be president on 12/31/2025?
98% chance
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela before 2027
63% chance
In 2025, iff Half-Life 3 announced then US-Venezuela Conflict? (Resolves XNOR)
84% chance
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
11% chance
Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2026?
48% chance