Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?
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1kṀ14kDec 31
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Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Fired is defined strictly as an explicit unexpected termination of employment, not including any form of coerced or pressured resignation or termination as scheduled.
If Jerome Powell is pushed or pressured to resign rather than being formally fired, the outcome will resolve as a NO.
Update 2025-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the action of firing by President Trump, not the result of that action (e.g., whether Jerome Powell actually leaves his position).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@JussiVilleHeiskanen just to confirm, you intend to resolve with a strict definition of "fire", right? So for example, Jerome being pushed to resign would count as a NO resolution?
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