Will there be >2 named tropical storms concurrently in the Atlantic basin before the end of the season?
9
600Ṁ605Nov 30
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, on any day by the end of the current Atlantic hurricane season (12/1/2025), there are strictly more than two named storms active in the Atlantic basin. The storms don't have to have the same lifespan; they simply have to overlap in time.
Resolves according to classification by the National Hurricane Center.
Update 2025-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Post-tropical cyclones do not count as an active storm for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@traders I’m anticipating disputes over what ‘active storm’ means. To be clear, a post tropical cyclone doesn’t count as an active storm.
Happy to refund you if you’ve been misled (and lose mana if you sell).
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