Will we know by end of 2024 who/what’s behind the chemical weapon attack on the Swedish secret police in february
10
390Ṁ1496
Jan 2
77%
No
0.4%
Yes, Russia
22%
Yes, an “accident”
0.5%
Yes, other state actor
0.3%
Yes, terrorism

https://www.svd.se/a/EQO34l/bekraftat-stridsgas-vid-sapos-hogkvarter

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68383608

Swedens security service SÄPO’s headquarters was attacked with chemical warfare gas.

What will be the official explanation for this event?

So far no suggestions have been made.

I will moderate the suggestions if needed.

I will not bet in this market myself.

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The police dropped the investigation in April 2024 and said that they didn't find any proof that it was anything more than a technical problem with the sensors. They also said none of the people who went to the hospital were affected by foreign substances.

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/lokalt/stockholm/utredning-om-gaslarm-pa-sapo-laggs-ner

@Pazzaz Doesn’t this mean accident?

bought Ṁ25 NO

@Riley12 I think accident is a lot closer to “no” if we know it’s just a problem with censors.

@Riley12 @Magnus_ what you think?

Still no news...

bought Ṁ5 YES

Does any state other than Russia have an incentive right now to send a threat to Sweden?

@TheAllMemeingEye China and Iran are both candidates... according to SÄPO's own list of suspects.

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