Will France or the UK send soldiers to Ukraine before 2026?
9
100Ṁ3552026
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if France or the UK send at least 50 soldiers in official combat roles before January 1st 2026. Peacekeeping forces not placed on the front lines are acceptable.
This is 50 soldiers total across both countries. The presence of the soldiers must be publicly acknowledged by the country that sent them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes must be publicly acknowledged as being sent in official capacity. Both front line and rear support count. Officers that are there for training only do not count.
Related questions
Related questions
Will European Troops Enter Combat in Ukraine Before 2026?
10% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
60% chance
French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?
66% chance
French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2025?
39% chance
Will France deploy troops to fight in Ukraine by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
29% chance
Will any other country provide air defence coverage for Ukraine, before June 2025?
19% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
German troops deployed in Ukraine in 2025?
28% chance
Will Ukraine be extended an official invitation to join NATO before 2026?
13% chance