Will o4 be released before 2027?
13
100Ṁ359
2027
71%
chance

Resolves as YES if o4 is released before January 1st 2027.

In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, o4 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.

  • Update 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on release method:

    • If o4 is available via ChatGPT (even without being available via API), it qualifies as being released according to the market criteria.

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bought Ṁ40 YES

If it's available in some way via ChatGPT but not via API will that count?

@wrhall yeah that would count

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