Will Ontario cut off power to the US before 2026?
14
100แน2802026
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Ontario cuts off the electricity supply to the US before January 1st 2026.
In the context of this question, cutting off the electricity supply is considered as:
- let E be the averge energy (in kwh) sent to the US from Ontario every day, averaged over the year 2024
- There is a period of 24 hours during which the energy sent from Ontario to the US is less or equal to 5% E
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US drop out of the Paris Climate Agreement by 2025?
91% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
64% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 2,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
5% chance
Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?
11% chance
Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?
44% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2026?
4% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 500,000 customers without power in 2025?
82% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
35% chance
Will the United States pull out of the USMCA by the end of 2025?
36% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?
9% chance