Will anyone be "Leader of the Democratic Party" in the next Suffolk/USA Today poll?
5
100Ṁ200
Jun 1
10%
chance

Question:

Will anyone be at or above 15% in a poll asking "Who is the current leader of the Democratic Party?"

Background

A recent Suffolk/USA Today poll found that almost half of respondents answered the question "[...W]ho do you now see as the leader of the Democratic Party?" with "Don't Know" (29.6%) or "Nobody" (19.4%). Kamala Harris came in as a distant third-most popular answer (10.3%) and Hakeem Jeffries in fourth (9.1%). Will any single person be above 15% in the next poll with this question?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if any one person is at or above 15% in a Suffolk/USA Today poll with this question. Resolves NO if no one in the next poll with this question is at or above 15%. If this question is not asked again in a poll released before June, this market resolves N/A. If there is a similar-but-differently-worded question in a future Suffolk/USA Today poll, it will be enough to resolve this market.

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filled a Ṁ20 NO at 40% order

Very interesting question

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