Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey
37
1kṀ7841
2026
74%
chance

Will Joe Biden be ranked below Jimmy Carter in the next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey? Market resolves based on the next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey results, whenever that occurs.

https://www.c-span.org/presidentsurvey2021/?page=overall

  • Update 2025-07-02 (PST) Due to the postponement of the C-SPAN survey, the market will remain open and wait for the next survey to be released. The close date has been extended to accommodate this delay.

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There is noöne stopping any organization lining up a bunch of presidential historians...

"Upon consultation with our survey's advisory team of historians, C-SPAN has decided to postpone this cycle's presidential leadership survey," Robin Newton, C-SPAN's media relations specialist, told Business Insider. "The consensus is that with a former president returning to office, conducting the survey now would turn it from historical analysis to punditry." Cluck cluck cluck

https://www.businessinsider.com/the-top-20-presidents-in-us-history-according-to-historians-2017-2

@Eric_WVGG well, the article title says "next". Hmm. This isn't unprecedented, they don't do it every 4 years.

@Eric_WVGG is there anyone here who can tell me where Biden would have ranked had survey been released? Genuinely wondering

@Eric_WVGG Thanks, I pushed out the close date by a year, though of course they may skip that one too.

@MartinRandall At this stage, I would imagine 2029 may be possible

83% is too high tbf. Do people just not grasp how bad Carter was?

@LiamRutherford His ranking in past surveys isn't that bad.

@LiamRutherford buy some NO?

@MartinRandall I’ve bought a lot already. I think I’m the top buyer actually.

@LiamRutherford nice. I didn't see that @Chad was propping up the value by themself.

@MartinRandall Apparently @Chad deleted his account. @JamesGrugett, any chance I could take over that handle? Always wanted one with just my first name.

@mods @JamesGrugett I’d be willing to forgo withdrawing my 44.46 sweepcash if I can switch to the defunct @Chad handle.

(I won’t withdraw it either way)

@ChadCotty Mods can't help you with that and James has left Manifold to work on Manicode. Perhaps @SirSalty can help?

@ChadCotty hey Chad - apologies for the delay. I've checked with the Manifolk and unfortunately, we can't transfer old handles over to new ownership. it might be possible in the future (idk!) but not an option for now.

How sure are we they are doing the survey? It's only been done, what, 4 times?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen It resolves based on the next one, whenever that is.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen the site says it is happening this year.

@MartinRandall @JussiVilleHeiskanen The last survey was released June 30, 2021, so it will probably be a few more months before we get the next one.

When does it drop?

@LiamRutherford my understanding around president's day, and that was yesterday

sold Ṁ56 NO

Biden in freefall. Sold my NO at a loss. The more we learn the worse it seems to get.

@MartinRandall holding. I don’t think he can sink to GWB numbers.

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