Will I make IMO 2025?

100Ṁ4853

Jun 1

32%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if I get invited to IMO 2025, and NO otherwise.

(Disclaimer: this is probably resolving NO.)

Recent Scores:

2023 TSTST - 707 076 771

2023-4 TST - 600 670 772 77000

2024 USAMO - 717 770 (rank ~9-10)

2024 TSTST - 777 777 620 (rank 3)

2024 USEMO - 777 700 (rank 3)

2025 RMM [onsite] - 741 761 (rank 9, silver [1 off gold], top USA scorer)

2024 December TST - 200 (docked -5 for a <5min patchable error :sob:)

2025 January TST - 770 (apparently most of tst group got skewered on p2)

2025 RMM Day 1 [domestic] - 751 (what the actual f*** i was expecting 720)

chat are we cooking?

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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admits

If you don't make IMO 2025, you will >90% make IMO 2026. You are eligible, right?

RMM day 1 provisional result 741?

@RaymondChristopherTanto Yes, but domestic regrading could do essentially anything to my P2 score.

@Math4Life2020 Do you expect the domestic regrading to be lower or higher?

@RaymondChristopherTanto By some miracle, it's higher.

(For contest, one person lost 6 points upon regrading and another person lost 2 last year.)

@Math4Life2020 Wow nice, congrats!

@Math4Life2020 How did they lose 6 points?

Admits orz

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