SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
25
1kṀ3849
2030
30%
chance
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

The metaculus page is now a 404. I presume this now follows https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/ ?

@FlorisvanDoorn it’s technically this conditional question, which leads to yours above, so yes. I’ve updated the description to match. Thanks!

May wish to extend the close date to Jan 1st 2030 @MetaculusBot!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules