AI is #1 competitive coder in CodeForces by EOY2025?
31
100Ṁ2658
Dec 31
24%
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  • E.g. “Our internal benchmark is around 50th best [competitive] programmer in the world. And, we’ll hit #1 by the end of the year [2025].” – Sam Altman, 2025

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Can slmeone tell me why the prediction decreased so suddenly after June 18?

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 30% order

@AlvinAnestrand I hadn't seen this market until then. I don't think anything really changed in the past week.

How will this be verified and resolved?

@LiamZ I guess whatever the company claims

@AdamCzene I think it should require actually competing, not just hitting an internal benchmark.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 that's true but codeforces has an AI ban. I mean they could add a bot status and don't compare their performance to human users* but why would they?

*what I meant is that they wouldn't affect non-bot users standing but for their ELO you would calculate it

@AdamCzene I see, thanks, I wasn't aware of that.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@AdamCzene So what about virtual contests?

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