When will Starship flight 8 happen?
77
17kṀ220k
Aug 1
66%
Before 2025-03-07
69%
Before 2025-03-08
80%
Before 2025-03-09
91%
Before 2025-03-16
96%
Before 2025-04-01
98%
Before 2025-05-01
99%
Before 2025-06-01
99%
Before 2025-07-01
Resolved
NO
Before 2025-02-01
Resolved
NO
Before 2025-03-01
Resolved
NO
Before 2025-03-04
Resolved
NO
Before 2025-03-05
Resolved
NO
Before 2025-03-06

At the time of writing, SpaceX Starship has flown 6 times. The dates of the last few flights are:

Flight 4: 2024-06-06

Flight 5: 2024-10-13

Flight 6: 2024-11-19

Flight 7: 2025-01-16

When will Starship flight 8 take place?

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  • Update 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Local Time Specification Update

    • The market will be resolved based on the local time at the launch location.

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bought Ṁ50 YES

Lift presumably for stack in progress

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Next launch now scheduled on March 7th

sold Ṁ50 NO

@LollicoPatrizio Source or is this GMT+1+ time so NET 6th 5:30 CT?

@ChristopherRandles sorry you are right: Thursday, March 6, at 6:30 p.m. EST (2330 GMT).

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

They're still fiddling with it, might still even be people inside the lox tank. Per previous launches, it needs to be stacked and starting with pre-flight stuff 12h ahead of time if they want to launch tonight, so it seems pretty unlikely.

bought Ṁ150 NO
bought Ṁ1,065 NO
bought Ṁ1,500 YES

Some more time for the milestones market I guess :)

Licence issued https://drs.faa.gov/browse/excelExternalWindow/DRSDOCID173891218620231102140506.0001%3FmodalOpened%3Dtrue%3FmodalOpened%3Dtrue?modalOpened=true

Left to do includes
Ship rollout [Edit done 2nd March]
Stacking [edit done 2/3 March]
USA TFRs [Edit issued 27th Feb for Mar 3 https://tfr.faa.gov/tfr3/?page=detail_5_7562 ]

bought Ṁ9,930 NO

Flight 7 statement:
https://www.spacex.com/updates/#flight-7-report

Flight 7 recap video:
https://x.com/SpaceX/status/1894084592958587045

Flight 8 mission plan:
https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-flight-8

NET Friday the 28th, no official announcement yet.

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

Is this market local time at the launch base, or UTC? @OlegEterevsky

@Mqrius Local time at the launch location.

If it will fly in 1 march, is it Before 2025-03-01?

@KrilariaSpace No 1st of March is not before 1st of March.

@Mqrius There is now also:
A mexican NOTAM https://x.com/Space_Time3/status/1892859175585128648
Flight road closures https://www.cameroncountytx.gov/spacex/
Is on COPA https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_spt.jsp
NSF says transport to pad waiting to happen https://x.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1893050193223774497

All indicating NET 26 Feb

Still to come:
Confirmation from SpaceX 

Temporary Flight Restriction (USA) 
Vehicles Stacked

https://apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/reports/STA_Print.cfm?mode=current&application_seq=140471
Operation Start Date:03/05/2024
Operation End Date:09/01/2025

Not sure about that 2024 date given the narrative says between March 2025 and September 2025.
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=61559.0;attach=2356968;sess=54281
SpaceX seeks authority to mount and operate Starlink earth stations on the Super Heavy booster and Starship spacecraft for multiple upcoming Starship-Super Heavy test flights between March, 2025 and September, 2025. These flights will originate at Starbase, TX and are expected to reach peak altitudes of approximately 300 km. These missions will allow SpaceX to test high-data-rate communications with the Starship spacecraft and the Super Heavy booster on the ground at the launch site in Starbase, TX, during launch, in-flight operations, booster recovery, and spacecraft entry. SpaceX’s satellite constellation can provide unprecedented volumes of telemetry and enable communications during atmospheric entry when ionized plasma around the spacecraft inhibits conventional telemetry frequencies.

I am not sure about interpreting this: It is possible they have such a permit to 4th March and are just extending this so it says nothing about flight 8 date. However it is also possible that the earliest possible date for a launch is now considered to be 5th March having slipped a week from the previous earliest estimate of 24 Feb 2025.

filled a Ṁ50 YES at 51% order

https://apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/reports/STA_Print.cfm?application_seq=140066&mode=current
Operation Start Date:02/24/2025
Operation End Date:08/24/2025

https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/02/it-seems-the-faa-office-overseeing-spacexs-starship-probe-still-has-some-bite/

Not sure when they filed that but 24 Feb is likely earliest they thought possible and a 5 day delay seems very easily possible or more likely probable

bought Ṁ250 YES

Gotta wait to see if the FAA agrees, but...

sold Ṁ150 YES

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