A French President will trigger Article 16 of the French Constitution (giving him exceptional powers) before 2030.
11
130Ṁ7812029
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Article 16 gives extended powers to the President to manage a serious threat to the Republic. It was last applied in 1961 during the "Putsch of the Generals" in Algeria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
If the French government faces a new no-confidence vote before July 2025, will it succeed?
54% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
20% chance
France changes Prime Minister before Macron's term ends?
64% chance
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?
60% chance
Will there be a 6th Republic in France before 2050?
41% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
3% chance
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?
29% chance
Will France be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
93% chance