Here's another market for this by EOY2025 based on new calls for recognition due to Macron's (France) plan to do so: https://manifold.markets/Samaritan/will-the-uk-recognize-palestine-by

source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/13/labour-mps-pressure-foreign-office-to-recognise-palestinian-statehood

Number 10 are rowing back already, saying Cameron didn’t check with them first.

By when?

@JoshuaWilkes presumably by 2034, which is when the question closes.

@BrunoParga thanks, I have noticed that. It's important to hear it from @Quadrifold otherwise the question completely changes

@JoshuaWilkes I set 10 years deadline as a reasonable timing, if it happens before then resolves YES otherwise NO