Will an AI generated Instagram video reach 10M views before 2025?
30
1kṀ10k
Mar 1
35%
chance

Resolves as YES if an AI generated video has reached 10 million views on Instagram before January 1st 2025

Different number of views:

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-instagram-vide (this question)

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-instagram-vide-367e297f7587

Different platforms:

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-video-reach-10-9511a17489a9

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-tiktok-video-r

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-instagram-vide (this question)

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-x-video-reach

/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-facebook-video

Other questions:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

At least 90% of the frames and audio in the video must be generated by an AI, but an editing process involving a human is permissible within the context of this question. The video must be at least 45 seconds long.

Intros and outros are not considered as "part of the video" unless these are also AI-generated. If a video has 5 seconds of intros and outros, then the video must be at least 50 seconds long in order to include 45 seconds of AI-generated content.

In order for the video to fulfil the criteria of "AI generated", a neural network (or some similar class of model) must be significantly involved in the production of each frame counted in the 45 seconds of AI-generated content in the video.

The "main subject" of the video must be AI generated in order to qualify. For example, a music video with a real singer superimposed on an AI generated background would not qualify. However, an AI generated singer in a virtual scene on which real backup dancers have been superimposed would qualify.

For a frame to be considered AI generated, then the majority of the pixels must have been produced by a process that involved a neural network (or similar architecture) to a substantial degree.

Silent videos are acceptable, as are videos with a still image, provided this image is AI generated. If the video is not silent then the audio must be broadly generated by an AI. If a video has an audio track that contains both AI generated (synthetic) and recorded audio (e.g a real human's voice), then this media qualifies only if the AI generated audio content is the main "subject" of the audio track. For example, a real human voice singing over synthetic AI-generated background music would not qualify, except in the case that the voice was only heard in a few seconds of the soundtrack.

Background music or sound effects that are not AI-generated are permissible provided that 90% of the video contains AI-generated audio on top (e.g. AI-generated voices), and that the AI-generated audio is the "main subject" of the audio track (cannot be simply AI-generated sound effects on top of a music track created by a human).

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@mods resolves NO

bought Ṁ1,750 YES

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DBocFcaMrMH/?igsh=emU0ZXNsM2lwc2Vo

This one is longer then 45 seconds and did way more then 10 .mil

@PoliticalEconomyPK Doesn't count because he's using this soundtrack: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNSkhTmLO7s

bought Ṁ50 NO

@PoliticalEconomyPK The reason this video is popular is because of the music to a great extent. That audio is not AI-generated.

@PoliticalEconomyPK

```
Background music or sound effects that are not AI-generated are permissible provided that 90% of the video contains AI-generated audio on top (e.g. AI-generated voices), and that the AI-generated audio is the "main subject" of the audio track (cannot be simply AI-generated sound effects on top of a music track created by a human).
```

@MalachiteEagle

Only the video being fully ai is allowed which is the case in the video i tagged

@MalachiteEagle it has a background music that is not ai generated but the entire video is ai

bought Ṁ100 NO

@PoliticalEconomyPK you're misreading the description. The video you tagged does not fulfuill the criteria "90% of the video contains AI-generated audio on top"

@PoliticalEconomyPK the audio track is 100% a music created by a human, so this video doesn't count

@PoliticalEconomyPK you can sell your YES votes now to avoid too much loss, I won't continue betting you down

@PoliticalEconomyPK (but if you delay too long then I will haha)

@MalachiteEagle what you're saying only stands if the subject of the video is the audio itself. Whereas in this case the main thing is the video the audio is only added to create a feel for the video.

@MalachiteEagle youre free to bet as you please. I think we'll need a moderator to decide who is right

@PoliticalEconomyPK no, you're wrong. You're reading the part of the description where it talks about videos that have both AI and human-made audio mixed together. The video you tagged only has human-made audio so it doesn't count

@PoliticalEconomyPK (I'm trying to help you not lose all your mana)

@MalachiteEagle but the video part is completely ai generated so it should count i think. The description is kinda vague though it does mention explicitly "Background music or sound effects that are not AI-generated are permissible"

bought Ṁ100 NO

@PoliticalEconomyPK no, the description is not vague. It's really clear in explicitly excluding the video that you linked.

@PoliticalEconomyPK (I also mistakenly thought I had found such a video)

@PoliticalEconomyPK like the sentence you're referring to "Background music or sound effects that are not AI-generated are permissible"

is immediately follow by: "provided that 90% of the video contains AI-generated audio on top"

you've just intentionally cropped off the second part of that sentence because it explicitly excludes the video you tagged

@MalachiteEagle then what exactly is a permissable not ai generated soundtrack?

@PoliticalEconomyPK the description is saying that you can have an AI-generated music track, and then add things like real sound effects like bells and whistles or whatever. The small effects are permissible provided that the vast majority of the audio track is the AI-generated music.

@PoliticalEconomyPK which makes sense. You wouldn't want to exclude those videos just because they had minor sound effects

@PoliticalEconomyPK I'll buy another 100 no i a minute if you don't sell

bought Ṁ100 NO

@PoliticalEconomyPK Ok, bought another 100 NO. Will buy another 100 in a minute if you don't sell.

(I'm trying to not be cruel because I made the same mistake, but if I don't do it someone else will)

@MalachiteEagle you can buy at once if you want im already looking for a new candidate video

@PoliticalEconomyPK remember that the question was for January 1st 2025 and we're now march 1st 2025. This question is not going to resolve YES

@PoliticalEconomyPK It can only resolve NO or at best N/A

@MalachiteEagle i know that

bought Ṁ100 NO

@PoliticalEconomyPK so why... aren't you selling? 🤣

@PoliticalEconomyPK if im able to find a video uploaded to Instagram before 2025 so it should count

@PoliticalEconomyPK No, because you wouldn't be able to prove that it reached 10M views even if you did find a video which met the criteria

@MalachiteEagle its already mostly gone so cant sell now

@PoliticalEconomyPK I can sell some of mine tbh

@PoliticalEconomyPK I can sell half of my NO as a compromise

@PoliticalEconomyPK (but best do it quick before someone else jumps on this market)

@PoliticalEconomyPK does that work for you?

@MalachiteEagle if you sell all of it then that would be great then ill do to

@PoliticalEconomyPK haha nah. I saw you making the mistake and putting free mana on the table so I took it before someone else did. But you're not adversarial and i'm not greedy so willing to sell half of my 600 NO votes

@PoliticalEconomyPK all of your no's after my yes's

@PoliticalEconomyPK alternatively I can just bet NO to the floor and take everything. Because the Mods are pretty much certain to resolve this question as NO the same as they did for the youtube question

@MalachiteEagle its up to you bro no pressure. Its a game anyway

@PoliticalEconomyPK and as soon as someone else with enough mana reads this thread that's exactly what they're going to do

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