On 20 March 2025, the Apple stock will be higher than on 15 February 2025?
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  • Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Closing Price Comparison Clarification:

    • The stock prices that are compared will be the closing prices of each respective day.

    • Specifically, the price on March 20, 2025 (closing) will be compared with the price on February 15, 2025 (closing).

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Options pricing implies around 41% for YES here. Because I expect Manifold to be far less efficient than the options market, I'm very comfortable buying NO here while it is trading at just 33.

AAPL closing price 2/14: $244.60

Higher than february

filled a Ṁ50 NO at 72% order

2/15 was a Saturday, it was not traded, but the price was 244 after it closed on Friday. Currently its 241

bought Ṁ40 YES

Higher than in February

bought Ṁ50 YES

yes it will be higher

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

yes it will be higher than february

Higher than February

Higher than February

Higher than the start, close, or interday high?

@NG Good ponit, thank you! I intend to compare the closing price of Apple's stock on March 20, 2025, with the closing price on February 15, 2025

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