In 2016 the median maternal age at first birth was 26. In 2022 it was 30. I think some of this is due to increased inequality during COVID that prevented younger non-university educated people from feeling financially stable enough to have the kids they wanted, while giving older university-educated people working from home the flexibility to have more kids. Do you think the maternal age at first birth will decrease back down now that we are "back to normal" during the pandemic?
my thoughts via twitter
1,000"Another recent paper demonstrates that Texas’ Heartbeat Act (S.B. 8) resulted in 9799 more live births between April and December 2022 than otherwise would have been the case."
-- as seen on Michael Goff's substack https://goff.substack.com/p/july-1-2023-energy-trends
@MarkIngraham online education for children has been proven to be way worse.
Personally I am benefiting from online education doing a part time masters, but this may disproportionately benefit people who already have a university education (this is my 2nd masters)
@RuthGraceWong education reduces fertility because it costs time, convenience raises fertility. fertility is already rising and it will increase anyway from deferred fertility.
@MarkIngraham more kids among college educated women is going to increase the maternal age at first birth; people who don't go to college tend to have kids early 20s and people who do tend to have kids early 30s
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/04/upshot/up-birth-age-gap.html
@RuthGraceWong it's an empirical question and the result is higher fertility since 2020 for now.
The more pressing issue is that capitalism is collapsing and america will turn into a third world shithole where everyone gets pregnant in middle school.