Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?
13
10kแน19k2026
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At least 2 of the following sources must confirm that Taiwan has de facto become controlled by People's Republic of China before the end of 2025: WSJ, WaPo, FT, Reuters, AP, NYT, BBC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will martial law be declared in Taiwan before 2026?
17% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
88% chance
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
50% chance
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
10% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
13% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
20% chance