Numerical markets sadly got deprecated (again). This market resolves YES if Manifold will have a new iteration of numerical markets, or if the old version gets returned, available on market creation, by June 1, 2025.
New functionality for multi-choice that is intended to better suit numerical question is an edge case. If it enables betting on multiple answers simultaneously and to see a distribution, similiar to how it was on the previous iteration of numeric, this resolves YES.
Also, see this meme on Discord.
1,000@ScipioFabius I'm not sure if the new feature counts? It's explicitly called "numeric market", so I'm guessing it does, but the description also says
New functionality for multi-choice that is intended to better suit numerical question is an edge case. If it enables betting on multiple answers simultaneously and to see a distribution, similiar to how it was on the previous iteration of numeric, this resolves YES.
The actual underlying market type is just multiple choice with some additional features (to help with setup and to display an expected value). AFAIK, it doesn't allow you to bet on multiple answers simultaneously or to see a distribution
@Ziddletwix It's always the damn edge cases! I'll sleep on this, but to me right now it looks like just a glorified EV calculator. I'll close the market for now so that people dont bet on expectations of my thoughts.
@strutheo 4th I think. It's probably time to make a market about when the next iteration will get deprecated.