shoutout to Stew Peters, a man who is notable because you can easily change his name to Stew Pid

For anyone who wants a risk-free 0.5%-1% return in one week
I need liquidity to bet in other market that will close soon.

The system doesn't allow me to set a limit order at 0.5%
If you bet Ms. Rachel NO down to <0.5%, I will sell my NO shares up to 1% and you can bet again. We can repeat the cycle until I withdraw my 2.056 mana.

My shares are already sold. Thanks

Elon Musk should be on this list

@NzJack0n holy shit it's real, what the fuck?

https://xcancel.com/grok/status/1998214590640115885#m

@TheAllMemeingEye what did you want to say with the link?

I'm not sure if this is a safe domain

xcancel.com Reviews: Is this site a scam or legit? – Scam Detector

@MiguelLM It's just an alternate twitter (X) frontend, it allows you to see twitter posts and replies without an account and twitter tracking. I don't have a twitter account and I use that and other frontends regularly. If you still don't trust it just remove the "cancel" from the link and it'll take you to X.

@TenShino thanks for the clarification. I didn’t know the site.

How on earth is Guy trading at 10x lower than Nick and Kanye when they weren't even top 10 finalists?

@TheAllMemeingEye they should all be at 0.00% as Only stew, Bryce and Tucker can win. We have some silly people betting Nick without reading the criteria.

Is Carlson a Jewish?

It would be not fair if Dave Farina will not receive the praise

@RenaoJedi is carlson "a jewish" is cooked

@notrealDonaldTrump does he do the jew-jew? /s

I have > 7k shares. I don't need so many. Limit Orders available.

@MiguelLM Added liquidity for the last vote.

@MiguelLM Surely they disregarded the vote? I can't imagine that Stew Peters got more votes than Guy Christensen or Ms Rachel

Ms. Rachel lost the “Antisemite of the Week” award she won in April. She is the only nominee for whom I found this withdrawal warning.

https://stopantisemitism.org/as-week/ms-rachel/

Stop Antisemitism shared in the last few days on X one dedicated post for each one of the 9 candidates. Example for Guy. The only nominee that didn’t have a post asking for votes was Ms. Rachel.

If they are embarrassed to recognize that Ms. Rachel was named as “Antisemite of the Week”, and they "forget" her in their official candidates presentation posts, I don’t see any chance they will name her “Antisemite of the Year”.

Apparently, as per Perplexity.ai, the Top10 candidates for Antisemite of the Year are chosen from the Antisemites of the Week for the year in course.

So, @gpt4, you were probably right with your previous alert: they will scrap Ms. Rachel votes. It doesn't matter how fun Internet will find voting for her.

@MiguelLM On the one hand, it lulzy that Ms. Rachel would be called an anti-semite just for reposting videos of starving Gazans. On the other hand, you know that if Ms. Rachel were sharing videos of schoolkids beating up schoolkids the SPLC would speak up.

@GG It's a bit more than that. It's that for instance she is telling 4 year olds that Israel is committing genocide when Manifold is 80% sure that the definitive legal authority on the matter will rule that this is not the case. In any case, I agree she is not an antisemite, just a woke propagandist. Many such cases.

You keep going around Manifold and bringing up that market as if it means anything, when that probability is largely determined by your own bets. At this point, I'm convinced that you bet on it just so that you can pretend your belief is more objective and accepted than it is.

In any case, what the ICJ says isn't relevant to this conversation. The way people colloquially use words doesn't have to correspond to technical legal definitions. I doubt you'd object to someone calling the Rohingya situation a genocide, even if the ICJ didn't rule it as such. Or even when people refer to what fast food companies regularly do as "false advertising". Or when people say "assault" instead of "battery". Or when people say "murder" instead of "voluntary manslaughter".

@ItsMe

You keep going around Manifold and bringing up that market

What market are you referring to? I bet NO in two ICJ genocide markets, and YES in the other, to arbitrage their delta.

@ItsMe If the ICJ rules that Rohingya is not a genocide then I will object to someone calling it that. I'm not sure what the ICJ will rule there. I think it's a bit of a stretch to call it a genocide but the case is stronger than Gaza.

(If ethnic Burmese had been subject to a genocide killing a third of them 80 years ago, and the word "genocide" was coined in response to that, I'd object even more strongly because I'd find it even more fucked up...)

@ItsMe If you think the probability is higher, bet against me.

@MiguelLM I wasn't replying to you

@nathanwei I don't bet on those types of serious markets; it's not something which should be made into a game. But even if I was interested in making a profit I wouldn't bet on it because it's probably several years away from any resolution. Also I don't understand what your statement in parentheses is supposed to mean. You still didn't respond to my main point, which is that the colloquial definition is what matters, and you shouldn't expect people on social media to be following ICJ definitions.

@ItsMe I disagree that the colloquial definition is what matters. "Genocide" is an extremely serious legal term with a legal definition. It was codified by the ICJ. People say all sorts of nonsense on social media.