See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-06-17/it-s-not-gambling-it-s-predicting
Case https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rFZ3aH8mRi9w/v0
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the following entities—Kalshi, Robinhood, or Susquehanna—are ordered by a court to pay any amount of money to Ohio Gambling Recovery (OGR), regardless of the outcome of any appeals. If no such order is issued, the market will resolve to "No."
Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A settlement that includes a monetary payment to Ohio Gambling Recovery will resolve the market to Yes.
Update 2025-06-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A monetary settlement resulting in a payment to Ohio Gambling Recovery will resolve this market to Yes, even if the settlement is reached out of court.
1,000Apparently there are identical companies being set up in Kentucky, Illinois, Massachusetts, Ohio, and South Carolina, all doing the same strategy. Not creating a market for them because I'm too lazy, but someone else should maybe.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-06-18/lawyers-are-mad-about-salt
@nikki Invitation to bet on this market. According to resolution criteria settlement with any monetary reward resolves Yes.
@TonyGao No, I mean it could be settled outside court. The resolution criteria says only court actions count
@nikki Unclear, because if Kalshi settles outside of court, then I think others can run the same playbook and sue under the same statue. Only if it resolves in their favor would it block future lawsuits.
So I think I would resolve any monetary settlement as Yes, even if out of court, because it would force Kalshi to shut down in Ohio.