Will there be an Advent of Code 2025?
20
100Ṁ2502
Dec 1
50%
chance

This year is the 10th anniversary. The past couple of years had tons of complaints on /r/adventofcode about how AI entries are dominating the leaderboards for most days. Today, o3 came out which performs extremely well of ARC and coding benchmarks.

NO: Advent of Code at adventofcode.com does not have a new set of 25 puzzles beginning Dec 1 2025

YES: Advent of Code still comes out, even if modified (such, as removing the leaderboard or having split leaderboards).

  • Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that resolving to 48% (a partial resolution) sounds reasonable given that Advent of Code 2025 will have only 12 days of puzzles instead of the originally stated 25 puzzles in the NO criteria.

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bought Ṁ20 NO

Pretty funny :)

@TonyGao How this will be resoved?

In the market description there is a statement:

> NO: Advent of Code at adventofcode.com does not have a new set of 25 puzzles beginning Dec 1 2025

Now the author of advent of code say that where will be only 12 days of puzzles (instead of 25 as it was in the previous years)

https://hachyderm.io/@ericwastl/115415473413415697

@TonyGao How are you planning to resolve this market because of the announced changes?

bought Ṁ33 NO

I've moved the market probability to exactly 48% :P

@Calibrate sounds reasonable

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