Will Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?
11
100แน€478
2028
19%
chance

Resolves YES upon evidence of successful qualification by the FEC advisory committee. https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/registering-political-party/

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought แน€25 YES

I'm in for a little bit of YES, FYI, but I think the resolution criteria are clear enough that shouldn't be problematic.

bought แน€100 NO

He cannot run for president guys

@Bayesian Unless there's a constitutional amendment, so factor that in to your assessment.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules