
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
122
1.8kṀ70812028
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@YaakovSaxon could you make the criteria a bit more precise? What counts as an "anti-AI terrorist incident"?
The background tweet seems to have been deleted. Mind to write it up it here?
@SlipperySloe I'm guessing it was this thread: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1626293663360774144.html
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?
43% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2029?
41% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
34% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2026?
10% chance
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
14% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2028?
30% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2029?
45% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2027?
23% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
16% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
10% chance