When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%? | Manifold

When will "Alan’s conservative countdown to AGI" reach 100%?

5

175Ṁ201

2027

7%

By July 1st 2025

16%

By October 1st 2025

18%

By the end of 2025

24%

By April 1st 2026

39%

By July 1st 2026

46%

By October 1st 2026

50%

By the end of 2026

Right now it's at 94%.

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April 2025 update: 94%

opened a Ṁ20 NO at 50% order

It will approach 100% asymptotically

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