Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026? | Manifold

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?

36

1kṀ2031

2026

50%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

Popular for this market= 20mil+ human users

Personal texts = dms, private chats, WhatsApp chats, discord dms, lw dms, etc.

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bought Ṁ250 NO

Fine-tuning doesn't seem like the likely way for that kind of functionality to be implemented, given how long context windows are getting.

A bunch of similar markets (Differences: Timeline, what counts as popular)

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Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

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Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

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