AFL: Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats
21
100Ṁ570
Mar 31
7%
Brisbane wins
89%
Geelong wins
4%
Draw

This market will resolve to the result of Brisbane's home game against Geelong.

  • Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Clarifications:

    • Postponement to Round 16: If the Brisbane-Geelong game is postponed to Round 16, the market will resolve as N/A.

    • Postponement to Round 3: If the game is postponed to Round 3, only the market title will be edited, and the resolution will remain based on the game result.

    • Venue Change: If the game is moved to a different venue but remains the opening game, the market continues as normal.

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The game has been postponed to 29 March. As previously explained, the market remains active in these circumstances

Why is this swinging from Brisbane 79% to Geelong 91% before the lineups have even been announced

This game may be postponed or moved due to a cyclone. Here are my thoughts:

Although the market title and description refer to this as the opening game of the season, this is ornamental. The subject of the market is the Brisbane-Geelong game, regardless of whether it's the opening game or not.

However, the 'opening game' reference does imply that the game will be held early in the season, which is a foundational market premise that may materially influence trading.

Therefore, if the game is postponed to Round 16, I will resolve N/A, whereas if the game is only postponed to Round 3, I will merely edit the title.

If the game is moved to a different venue but remains the opening game of the season, the market will continue as normal.

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