>$100 million in funding. The mission doesn't have to happen during the Trump administration, just the funding.
Does not have to be a crewed mission.
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - NASA can officially lead the mission, if SpaceX is contracted to perform more than $100 million of work. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-09-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - To resolve Yes, the mission must involve a SpaceX-built lander.
Update 2025-09-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Funding definition: A contract award during Trump's term counts as funding, even if payments occur afterward.
Trump must be president at award: If he permanently ceases to be president before the award, the market resolves No.
1,000@ahalekelly
>"The mission doesn't have to happen during the Trump administration, just the funding."
Does this mean the cash has to be paid in Trump presidency or is just a contract awarded with payment dates after Trump leaves office ok?
If trump were incapacitated or otherwise replaced as president would this resolve no immediately or would the rest of his term count?
@ChristopherRandles contract award during Trump’s term with payment dates later counts. But Trump must be president when the contract is awarded, if he permanently ceases to be president this resolves no.
Yeah a mission to mars probably wouldn't cost under $1B, I just wanted to put some threshold number in to rule out like NASA putting a small science payload on a SpaceX mission without providing significant funding.
Updated the title to say "help fund" instead of "fund"
The Trump administration has allocated $700 million for the development of a new MTO, which will be dually-used for both a Mars Sample Return mission and future crewed Mars missions.
Probably won't be awarded SpaceX. However, if SpaceX were paid 100 million for delivery to Mars orbit, that would be sufficient or does it have to land on Mars?
@ahalekelly