will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?
12
1kṀ4802030
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
market will resolve jan 1, 2030. "becoming a citizen" is defined as passing whatever citizenship test the country in question has, OR a country's lawmakers deciding that one or more AIs is human enough to be granted citizen status after being assembled/programmed in that country, much like how a baby born there is granted citizen status.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI extend English before 2031?
53% chance
Will any country declare an AI eligible to apply for citizenship by 2044?
30% chance
Will an AI be granted legal personhood in any country by end of 2030?
23% chance
Will any AI be legally recognized by any country's government as being a "person" deserving of some rights before 2029?
34% chance
Will an AI be elected into any political office in any country before 2035?
24% chance
Will AI be able to vote, in any U.S. jurisdiction, by 2035?
6% chance
Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040?
52% chance
Will any country recognize AI or robots as non human persons with legal rights before the end of 2055?
35% chance
Will any country forbid the ownership of AI Agents recognized as legal persons by 2030?
19% chance
Will an AI be granted the same level of personhood as a corporation in the US by end of 2025?
10% chance