When will AGI be developed and released to the public? | Manifold

When will AGI be developed and released to the public?

12

1kṀ623

2035

3%

2024

12%

2025+

34%

2030+

35%

2035+

16%

Not until the next century

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Can you explain how the options work? Say AGI is released in the middle of 2030, then 2025+ and 2030+ resolve yes and the rest resolve no?

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-5% 1d40% chance

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