Will Zelensky visit the White House before March 5 to discuss and sign the minerals deal?
147
100Ṁ21k
Mar 5
0.9%
chance

Zelensky and Trump have been negotiating a minerals deal giving the U.S. access to Ukraine’s rare earth minerals. While a visit is expected political resistance in Ukraine and uncertainty over U.S. commitments could delay it!

Will Zelensky make the trip and finalize the deal before March 5 or will obstacles push it back?

  • Update 2025-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:

    • Resolution will be determined as of March 5.

    • If by March 5 the minerals deal has been signed, the market will resolve as Yes.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

so lemme get this straight, he has to be in usa and sign this deal within 4 hours basically?

we agreed earlier zelensky had to be in washington dc AND he had to sign it. he can't even fly across the atlantic in that time. isnt he still in UK?

@No_uh "we wait till 5th of march for a resolution

If by 5th he has signed then will resolve it to Yes"

Not that this seems likely but from this it should resolve yes because he has already visited Washington

@JoshuaWilkes how could he sign it anywhere else? do they fax these kinda things lol, signature post in adobe?

@No_uh I think in the context that question was being asked it was more believable that both Trump and Zelenskyy would sign the agreement somewhere else

@No_uh hehe, no I dont belive they fax these docs

The question was started on 25th feb when his coming to US was still not officially annoucned, There was only Unofficial talks, this picked up pace when he was in US and went down after he left or was asked to leave

The now changed Reuters article might have helped this market to come in light again, But I dont belive he is coming back to US in the next few hrs to sign

@JoshuaWilkes I don't know what you mean. regardless, i think there was at the very least one criteria that needed to be met, and that is, did he sign the deal by march 5th. it's looking like a very confident 'NO'.

filled a Ṁ20 NO at 21% order

Who is buying this up, no way the deal signed signed within... 9 hrs?

@SaviorofPlant headline and story details now changed in the Reuters article. Bad sources. It ain't happening today

@gamedev I was fully aware, I have 2000 mana on NO, I was just sharing why other traders might have been buying YES at that moment

@SaviorofPlant yes I gotcha. Cheers

how does this resolve if the mineral deal is signed after zelensky has left the white house?

@elongatedmuskrat we wait till 5th of march for a resolution

If by 5th he has signed then will resolve it to Yes

bought Ṁ150 YES

That press conference was disgraceful - particularly Vance's outburst which was clearly triggered by the fact that he had no good answer to Zelenskyy's reasonable diplomacy question.

Back to the question: Zelensky left without signing the agreement, but it would be pretty spectacular if he failed to return - buying this market down doesn't seem sensible.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 61% order

@vitamind the deal is not getting signed, fill my limit orders

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 11% order

@SaviorofPlant @vitamind One of you needs to change your profile picture.

@Shai i will do it for 1000 mana

@vitamind buddy there are only 5 days

@SaviorofPlant thank you for making me smile. You’re too funny

@avineth Just to confirm, he has to physically visit AND sign? Just visiting would not be enough to resolve YES?

hey @Quroe, While with the ongoing tensions, even his vist would be yet another news, but for our prediction to resolve YES we would require him sign the minerals deal aswell

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