
Resolves YES if Trump signs legislation to end Social Security, Medicare, Affordable Care or SNAPs.
Resolves NO, if Trump does not sign legislation to end Social Security, Medicare, Affordable Care or SNAPs by the end of his second term.
Resolves N/A if Trump is not elected in 2024.
States with high participation in SNAPs [Food Stamps...] programs include poor rust belt states like West Virginia with >16% SNAPs participation that overwhelmingly support Trump.
When you say “end”, I assume this does not include the case where a program is not ended, but has its eligibility requirements tightened and/or benefits reduced?
And could you go into more detail on what you would consider termination of ACA? Trump himself claimed to be ending it when he revoked the individual coverage mandate, but the actual subsidies were not removed.