Will the LA Lakers win at least 49 games in the 2024-2025 NBA Season?
26
1kṀ13k
Apr 25
85%
chance

Resolves at season end, or when they're mathematically locked out. If the NBA season is shortened or called off before the resolution is clear, I will N/A. FYI if they win exactly 49 games it resolves YES

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bought Ṁ200 NO

wtf is this market doing at 61% lol...Lakers have an insane schedule coming up, including multiple multiple back to backs over 1 week against top 5 seeds...they will fall at least 3 games short

@dlin007 I believe fanduel has their win total at 49.5 right now so about 50% seems right to me

@PaperBoy they have the 5th highest SOS including insane back to backs like this. i would take the under every single day and twice on sundays

@dlin007 i'll make an intermediary prediction - they're not winning more than 4 of the next 10 games. Will be at <=40 wins with 16 games to go, and before their brutal end of season schedule

@dlin007 does this include tonight’s game? How much are you willing to bet on that? I’m down for a gentleman’s wager

@dlin007 assuming tonight’s game counts, I’d bet 1000M at even odds that they win 5 or more of the next 10 games

@PaperBoy i was absolutely sure Lakers would lose both games vs. Clippers/TWolves and i would've taken this bet two days ago but not anymore. I still kinda believe in my hypothesis so if you juice the odds a lil or tweak it to >5/10 i'll be up for it

@dlin007 This seems pretty close to a lock for YES, especially after beating the clippers twice and t-wolves over the last few days. Lakers can win less than half of their remaining games(23 games left and need 11 the rest of the way to reach 49 wins. They have been playing at .800 the last 20 games(seems a large enough sample size) with 10 of those wins against teams with winning records and in the playoff mix(celtics, clippers, mavs, warriors, knicks, twolves). I don't think they will keep up the .800 win record which would have them win 18 of their remaining 23 games, but should still be a .600 team and clear another 13 or 14 wins. 9 of the games they play are basement dwellers. Assume a min 6 wins in that pot(I'd guess they grab 7). Then need to win just 5 of the remaining 14 games(I think they'll grab 7 here too)

@ShaneBo it's a lock...my judgement was clouded by my hater glasses :(

@dlin007 THEY CAN'T KEEP GETTING AWAY WITH IT

(as celtics fan still kinda shook that this happened in the first place)

filled a Ṁ55 YES at 51% order

Lakers are 31-19 with 32 games to go.

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