Will Nvidia’s stock price exceed $200 in 2025?
18
100Ṁ1179
2026
20%
chance

Resolves Yes if Nvidia’s stock price is greater than $200 at any point in 2025

Will also account for any stock splits if they do occur.

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If an attack on Taiwan is now looking more likely, how will this affect Nvidia's stock price?

@MalachiteEagle It'd be disastrous, but probably the least of our concerns at that point, see: https://youtu.be/DTOU3vchBE0?t=59

What makes you think it's looking more likely + what odds do you think it happens?

@elf the US is seeking a policy of appeasment with Russia with regards to its war of aggression against Ukraine. This encourages China to start its own war to annex Taiwan. The US is looking very weak now.

@MalachiteEagle My (limited) understanding is that if China were intent on taking Taiwan in the short to medium term they would have done so during the Ukraine + Oct 7th era as military resources were spread thin.

From the Atlantic Council:

source: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/overstretched-and-undersupplied-can-the-us-afford-its-global-security-blanket/


Moreover, what would you say to people who think, from a geostrategic standpoint, preventing a Russia & China alliance takes precedence over defending Ukraine?

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