Will a new Republic of China/Taiwan "government in exile" be formed by EOY2035?
3
100แน4882036
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
39% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
13% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
88% chance
Will Taiwan/ROC lose a 'diplomatic ally' in 2025?
50% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
47% chance
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
10% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
18% chance
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
19% chance