How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025) | Manifold

How low can @jim push the S&P 500? (2025)

27

1.3kṀ19k

Dec 30

11%

4800

10%

4700

10%

4600

9%

4500

8%

4400

8%

4300

6%

4200

5%

4100

4%

4000

Resolved

YES

5900

Resolved

YES

5800

Resolved

YES

5700

Resolved

YES

5600

Resolved

YES

5500

Resolved

YES

5400

Resolved

YES

5300

Resolved

YES

5200

Resolved

YES

5100

Resolved

YES

5000

Resolved

YES

4900

If S&P trades below a number at any point in 2025 that number resolves YES

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bought Ṁ10 NO

It hit below 4,900 on April 7th

@HillaryClinton verified

Seems like we should add more options.

bought Ṁ100 YES

oh my goodness gracious..

Wtaf

@Bayesian the jimline is not all fun and games

bought Ṁ10 YES

bought Ṁ10 YES

bought Ṁ10 YES

bought Ṁ650 YES

@jim YIKES

i want to get off mr @jim 's wild ride

@Ziddletwix mr jim pls let the number go up

bought Ṁ500 YES

You people have a lot of rational faith in me.

@Bayesian can you put some limits up here?

@jim uh idk what the option implied price is

@SemioticRivalry want to fill my 5800 order?

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Related questions

Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2025?

How low will S&P500 go in 2025?

S&P 500 closes below 4,000 before August 31, 2025

S&P500 closes below 1 point at any point in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?

Will the S&P 500 drop below $5,521.52 (its dip on March 13) in any of these months in 2025?

Will the S&P 500 AGAIN decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

Will 2025 have two more single day 5% decreases of the S&P 500?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?

Will the S&P 500 index drop below 4000 before EOY 2028?

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