When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved? | Manifold

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

41

218Ṁ1668

2028

54%

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When this market resolves YES:

https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

will most manifold users think AGI really has been achieved?

Resolves to Manifold poll. Will be open for a week and boosted until it gets 100+ participants.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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filled a Ṁ10 YES at 64% order

I think this should resolve to N/A because they will actually all be dead before it resolves at all.

bought Ṁ50 YES

The linked market cannot resolve YES. It is a numeric.

@KongoLandwalker i know i just dont care

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 28% order

got a 10k limit order at the market price

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If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

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Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

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Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

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